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2024 Electoral College Ratings: Trump Leads with 56% Chance of Winning

Current Electoral College Ratings

According to the latest electoral college ratings from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, Donald Trump currently has a 56% chance of winning the 2024 presidential election. This prediction is based on an average of all major polls accounting for recency, sample size, methodology, and house effects. Trump has a narrow lead over Joe Biden, who has a 44% chance of winning.

Interactive Electoral Map

The Economist has created an interactive electoral map that allows users to create their own 2024 election forecast. By clicking on states, users can assign them to a candidate, which will then update the electoral vote count and the overall chance of each candidate winning.

The 2024 presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. To win, a candidate must receive at least 270 electoral votes. The electoral college is a system in which each state is allocated a certain number of electoral votes based on its population. The winner of the popular vote in each state wins all of that state's electoral votes.

Cnn